The crypto community is closely monitoring upcoming economic data releases and speeches by major financial regulators. These events often drive the direction of the digital asset market.
Quickex has compiled a summary of the most important items on the economic calendar that investors should pay attention to. Here’s when and why they matter for cryptocurrencies.
Jerome Powell’s Speech
When: June 25, 2025, 2:00 PM UTC
Why it matters: Every time Jerome Powell takes the mic, trading desks reset their rate odds. A steely, hawkish tone would stiffen the dollar and trim risk budgets, crypto included. A softer, accommodative note could revive appetite for digital tokens.
Powell has already signaled that the FOMC isn’t ready to slice the policy rate, despite nudges from Pennsylvania Avenue. Markets will sift his next comments for clues on the Powell Fed crypto outlook and the Fed’s broader playbook.
Keep an eye on how markets react to the cryptocurrency impact of Jerome Powell’s speech — especially via Quickex’s crypto monitoring tools.
U.S. New Home Sales for May
When: June 25, 2025, 2:00 PM UTC
Forecast vs. Previous: 694K | 743K
Why it matters: A soft housing print—sluggish closings and thinner turnover—implies the economy is losing steam. That raises the odds of Fed relief and can give crypto a tailwind. A punchy number does the opposite: it props up the greenback and leans on digital tokens.
Crude Oil Inventories
When: June 25, 2025, 2:30 PM UTC
Forecast vs. Previous: -1.2M | -11.473M
Why it matters: Shrinking crude stockpiles push oil higher, stoke inflation angst, and make a firmer Fed more likely—bad news for crypto. Bigger builds cool prices, dial back rate pressure, and let digital assets breathe.
US GDP (Q1)
When: June 26, 2025, 12:30 PM UTC
Forecast vs. Previous: -0.2% | 2.4%
Why it matters: A soft GDP read points to slack in the real economy. Credit spreads widen, the yield curve flattens, and talk of easing gets louder. Rate-cut odds climb on every swap screen. That prospect softens the greenback and sends allocators hunting for non-fiat refuges. Bitcoin often tops that list.
A robust GDP beat flips the script. Growth looks resilient, so the Fed can stay patient. Treasury yields firm, the dollar catches a bid, and risk desks pare back crypto exposure. Liquidity that might have chased digital assets finds a home in higher-carry trades instead.
Knowing how GDP affects Bitcoin price is now table stakes. Correlations change, but the macro trigger is the same: growth data shape policy bets, and policy bets steer flows. The interplay between US GDP and Bitcoin now shows up in research notes, options skew, even custody inflows. Each print adds another data point to the curve.
Volatility tends to spike in the crypto market after the GDP report. Algorithms key off the headline, retail traders chase the move, and market-makers widen spreads. If the number misses big, expect knee-jerk bids in BTC and ETH. If it over-delivers, be ready for a quick fade. In either case, sizing and risk limits matter more than the first impulse.
Initial Jobless Claims
When: June 26, 2025, 12:30 PM UTC
Forecast vs. Previous: 244K | 245K
Why it matters: An uptick in weekly jobless claims points to a cooling economy and nudges the Fed toward easier policy—usually a tailwind for crypto. A leaner print signals a still-tight labor market, keeps the Fed in hawkish mode, and tends to weigh on digital tokens.
The link between US unemployment and crypto market trends is growing stronger, especially as investors try to anticipate Fed decisions.
Core PCE Price Index (MoM and YoY)
When: June 27, 2025, 12:30 PM UTC
Forecast vs. Previous (MoM): 0.1% | 0.1%
Why it matters: This gauge sits near the top of the Fed’s inflation dashboard. A hot print sharpens bets on more tightening, lifts yields, and chills the crypto bid. A soft read hints at policy relief and can put a bid under digital assets. The growing dance between US economic data and cryptocurrencies shows how tightly Wall Street and the blockchain arena are now intertwined.
Earlier, the Quickex editorial team reported on how the war between Iran and Israel strengthened Bitcoin.