AVAX has grabbed the spotlight. The token’s price is surging as the project’s team keeps delighting investors with positive news.
Here’s why AVAX is climbing, what’s happening with the project, and the Avalanche outlook shared by the crypto community.
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A $1B deal and plans
The main growth driver was news that the Avalanche Foundation plans to raise up to $1 billion to create crypto treasury companies in the U.S., as the Financial Times reports. The foundation is negotiating two major deals.
The first envisages up to $500 million invested in a Nasdaq-listed public company. The organizer is Hivemind Capital with the participation of the crypto-famous Anthony Scaramucci of SkyBridge Capital. The deal is expected to close by the end of September.
The second deal involves a SPAC from Dragonfly Capital, likewise targeting $500 million. Closing is slated for October.
The team plans to use the proceeds to buy millions of AVAX tokens from the foundation at a discount. That implies direct demand from institutional players, which could create lasting interest in the project. For investors, this is a signal to consider the coin for the long term.
In effect, the aim is to create digital corporate treasuries (Digital Asset Treasuries, DATs) in which cryptocurrency appears on public companies’ balance sheets. The pioneer here was MicroStrategy, now the largest holder of bitcoin among public companies.
The “cherry on top” is interest from Wall Street giants BlackRock, Apollo, and Wellington Asset Management. They are already using Avalanche to test fund tokenization. Moving operations to a blockchain cuts costs, speeds them up, and makes them more transparent.
Technical picture and market reaction
The sharp move pushed AVAX to a seven-month high. From September 10 to 11, 2025, the coin gained more than 16% to $30, followed by a small pullback. At the time of writing, the cryptocurrency is trading around $28.
Avalanche chart. Source: TradingView
Technically, the nearest resistance is at $30. A firm break above would open the way to $31.15 and beyond. At the same time, profit-taking could trigger a pullback: nearby support sits around $27 and $25.86.
A rising Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) confirms steady capital inflows. CMF has reached a two-month high. The shifts suggest traders view AVAX as a promising asset not only for speculation but also for long-term investing.
The coin’s three-month correlation with bitcoin has dropped to 0.64. That implies AVAX is less dependent on BTC’s moves than many other tokens. If an altseason is indeed starting, this positioning is a positive for investors.
Avalanche–bitcoin correlation. Source: macroaxis
How long the rally can last: forecasts
AVAX’s prospects depend on a mix of fundamental and market factors. The Avalanche Foundation’s treasury plans lay the groundwork for durable demand, while institutional participation strengthens the project’s position.
Falling correlation with bitcoin could further bolster the coin’s standing if a full-fledged altseason arrives.
Many in the crypto community are sharing optimistic forecasts. For example, trader Tuna KAYA suggests the coin is moving within a contracting triangle; a bounce off its lower boundary, in his view, would send the price toward $45.
Trader CryptoBullet, for his part, thinks that the next target for the coin is $34.
At this pace, according to some community members, the price could reach $50 by year-end. Supporters of this forecast believe that the coin may not encounter any obstacles on the way to that mark.
Conclusion
AVAX’s rally stems from a mix of fundamental news and technical factors. The Avalanche Foundation’s large deals underpin long-term demand, and technical indicators confirm market interest. The coin’s relatively low dependence on bitcoin’s moves could support further upside if a full-fledged altseason develops.
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