Ethereum Price Forecast for July 2025

Ethereum Price Forecast for July 2025
July 2, 2025
~5 min read

Ethereum is the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap. Many crypto-enthusiasts follow its price movements, hoping to profit from investing in the coin.

The editorial team at Quickex analyzed ETH’s prospects and put together this Ethereum price forecast for July 2025. Here’s what to expect from the cryptocurrency this month.

Overview of Ethereum’s Position

Unlike the market’s flagship, Bitcoin, Ethereum failed to set a new all-time high in 2025. The local peak for ETH was recorded on December 16, 2024 at $4,117. Since then, the coin has been losing value.

By comparison, Bitcoin’s all-time high was reached on May 21, 2025 at $111,970, while Ethereum’s ATH remained at $4,891 (November 21, 2021).

Chart: TradingView

You can track Ethereum’s price most easily on Quickex.

As of the time of this forecast, Ethereum’s correlation with Bitcoin over the past three months is 0.92 (where 1.0 indicates perfect correlation), according to macroaxis. However, ETH has significantly lagged behind the market leader in growth pace.

The chart below compares the price movements of Ethereum and Bitcoin (purple curve). Since late 2024, BTC’s growth rate has outpaced ETH’s substantially—likely due to heightened interest in Bitcoin following the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S., which have proven popular among institutional investors. Similar ETFs for Ether, introduced six months after the first Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, have unfortunately not drawn the same level of enthusiasm.

Comparison chart: TradingView

Technically, ETH still tracks BTC’s movements, though Bitcoin’s growth rate far exceeds Ethereum’s performance. This suggests that further Bitcoin gains could support positive momentum for ETH, albeit with potentially less spectacular results than the market leader.

Previously, the Quickex editorial team concluded that BTC has the strength to push toward new highs in July 2025. Therefore, ETH may ride Bitcoin’s positive impulse forward, but an ETH ATH retest this month remains unlikely.

Ethereum Forecast from a Market-Cycle Perspective

Market-cycle theory is built around Bitcoin and its halvings (events that halve the rate of new coin issuance). The most recent Bitcoin halving occurred in April 2024. If history repeats, the next peak could arrive in autumn 2025.

Since Ethereum largely mirrors Bitcoin’s moves, we can expect ETH to follow BTC’s upward trajectory.

Let’s also consider the “typical July” for Ethereum. Unfortunately, July has not been kind to ETH: over the past nine years, the cryptocurrency closed below its early-July level six times.

Monthly return statistics: bitcoinmonthlyreturn

However, it’s crucial to note that Bitcoin’s growth prospects in July 2025 play a far greater role in forecasting ETH than Ethereum’s own historical seasonality.

Technical Analysis of Ethereum

If Bitcoin rises, ETH could target $2,852, but first must overcome resistance around $2,679. Should it clear these levels, Ethereum may challenge the $3,000 mark and head toward the $3,500 trading range.

Key levels to watch: TradingView

Analysts’ Forecasts

Many in the crypto community offer a bullish ETH forecast for July 2025. Analyst Quentin Francois notes that large investors (“whales”) are actively accumulating ETH, suggesting they see upside potential. Often, such players have insider insights that help them gauge market risk accurately.

Ted Pillows highlights that growing institutional interest in Ethereum ETFs and a rapid return of liquidity to ETH—key ingredients for price rallies—could support the coin’s price in July.

Popular trader Merlijn The Trader sees a repeat of the 2016 pattern, which could herald explosive growth. Given that ETH hasn’t retested its 2021 ATH, he believes the built-up energy might propel ETH above $4,891 this July.

Crypto blogger Crypto GEMs forecasts that ETH could surpass $3,300, citing a contracting triangle pattern whose breakout may trigger a new wave of gains. Trader Mister Crypto similarly expects a breakout from the contracting triangle to open the door toward $3,900.

Conclusions

Positive expectations for Bitcoin in July 2025, growing institutional interest in ETH, and supportive technical setups suggest that the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency may rise this month—despite its historical tendency to falter in mid-summer.

At the time of writing, there are no geopolitical risks likely to worsen Ethereum’s outlook. However, negative developments—such as a resurgence of Trump’s tariff wars or escalations in the Middle East—could derail the bullish scenario.

Given a favorable geopolitical climate and continued Bitcoin gains, this Ethereum price forecast does not rule out ETH rising toward $3,500 in July 2025.

Previously, the Quickex editorial team explored how the U.S. is reshaping the mortgage market using Bitcoin.

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